A major analysis by The New York Times (using data from 30 states that track party registration) found that Democrats lost about 2.1 million registered voters from 2020 to 2024, while Republicans gained 2.4 million. This resulted in a net swing of around 4.5 million voters toward Republicans across those states. The losses occurred in every one of the tracked states—including battlegrounds, blue states, and red states—and marked the first time since 2018 that more new voters registered as Republicans than Democrats in a year.This shift contributed to broader concerns about Democratic voter bases, with reports highlighting declines among groups like young men, Latinos, Black men, and working-class voters. Independents and third-party registrations have also grown (reaching about 32% of registered voters in some analyses by 2025), often at the Democrats' expense more than Republicans'.

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