Luck or not? Ever since President Donald Trump introduced his first round of new tariffs, it’s been a waiting game to see just how much they’ll impact the global economy. This week, one of the earliest signs was revealed — and it wasn’t pretty. South Korea’s Customs Service reported that exports for the first 20 days of April declined by 5.2% compared to the same period last year. That singular data point is a “key bellwether” for where trade is heading, Min Joo Kang, a senior economist at ING, said in a note on Monday. Nursing Jobs up to $96/hr job.incrediblehealth.com Nursing Jobs up to $96/hr Ad The decline in exports came after Trump enacted a 25% tariff on all aluminum, steel and auto imports. All other South Korean imports were also briefly subject to a 25% “reciprocal” tariff before Trump delayed it until July. Instead, imports from there are subject to a nearly universal 10% tariff. That was evident in the data, which showed that car and steel shipments fell 6.5% and 8.7%, respectively, year over year for the first 20 days of April. Overall exports from South Korea to the US declined by 14.3% from last year. The bright spot was semiconductor exports, which rose 10.2% compared to last April. Semiconductors remain exempt from US tariffs, but Trump has said he aims to implement tariffs as high as 25% on the product. For now, the South Korean data suggests that “US tariffs are complicating global trade dynamics,” Kang said. Vehicles produced by South Korean automaker Kia Motors are lined up ready to be shipped at the Port of Pyeongtaek on April 3. - Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images Vehicles produced by South Korean automaker Kia Motors are lined up ready to be shipped at the Port of Pyeongtaek on April 3. - Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images Tubes are stacked inside a small metal fabrication plant in Seoul, South Korea, on February 11. - Jeon Heon-Kyun/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock Tubes are stacked inside a small metal fabrication plant in Seoul, South Korea, on February 11. - Jeon Heon-Kyun/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock But things can often change on a month-to-month basis, so it might be too early to jump to any conclusions, cautioned Lee Branstetter, an economics and public policy professor at Carnegie Mellon University. It is, however, “reasonable to attribute part of the export decline to the Trump-related disruptions in trade,” he told CNN. Irina Gorbman Fine Art Morning Awakening Original Oil On Canvas By Irina Gorbman - Wall Art In Yelloworangepurple | Size 36" H X 60" W | IGAT1027 Perigold Irina Gorbman Fine Art Morning Awakening Original Oil On Canvas By Irina Gorbman - Wall Art In Yelloworangepurple | Size 36" H X 60" W | IGAT1027 Ad Branstetter, who previously served as senior economist for international trade and investment on former President Barack Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, said he expects forthcoming trade data from other American trade partners to paint a similar picture. But those changes might not show up as fast because it can take a while for new tariffs to manifest in trade data, he added. Nevertheless, the International Monetary Fund is warning global economic growth will slow to 2.8% this year from the 3.3% rate it predicted last year, according to new forecasts released Tuesday. The slowdown expected in the United States was even steeper, with its economy likely to grow only 1.8%, compared with a 2.8% expansion in 2024. The IMF cited “trade tensions and extremely high levels of policy uncertainty” as reasons for the downward revisions. Forthcoming trade data likely won’t be cut and dry The chaos that’s ensued from Trump’s on-and-off tariffs makes it increasingly hard to draw firm conclusions from forthcoming trade data. Lakefront & Hot Tub Rentals - Lakefront & Hot Tub Cabins bigbearcoolcabins.com Lakefront & Hot Tub Rentals - Lakefront & Hot Tub Cabins Ad For starters, it’s possible that some countries’ data will show exports to the US increased this month as businesses sought to take advantage of the “reciprocal” tariff pause. Another major factor at play is the overarching uncertainty from Trump’s trade policies. For instance, the president recently claimed he’s negotiating deals with other nations, which he said could be finalized in a matter of weeks. At the same time, he’s also threatened new tariffs. That uncertainty could be causing businesses to pause international orders altogether. That means some countries’ exports could decline, said Branstetter. For instance, one toy company CNN spoke with earlier this month said it stopped ordering goods from China over fears tariffs will continue to rise. The trade picture for South Korea and the US could change, however, if talks between the two nations are sucessful. South Korean Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok and Trade Minister Ahn Duk-geun are set to meet with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer on Thursday. The Trump administration has said it wants to prioritize trade deals with allies like South Korea. For more CNN news and newsletters create an account at CNN.com

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And if they support antifa? Thought for 4s Supporting Antifa in an educational context would amplify the anti-democratic nature of ideological capture to a dangerous degree.Antifa's core characteristicsAntifa is a loose, decentralized far-left militant movement that explicitly rejects liberal democracy in favor of direct action, deplatforming, and sometimes violence to combat perceived fascism. It opposes free speech for opponents, views institutions (including schools) as tools for revolutionary change, and often aligns with anarchist or accelerationist tactics. Open support for it goes beyond standard left politics into endorsing extra-legal methods.Why educator or institutional support crosses a lineUndermines the rule of law — Public schools are state institutions bound by democratic norms (elections, due process, free expression under the First Amendment). Teachers or curricula that romanticize, excuse, or promote Antifa-style tactics (property destruction, no-platforming, "by any means necessary") teach contempt for democratic mechanisms. This is especially toxic for youth, who are still forming civic habits. Heightens indoctrination risk — In captured systems (e.g., activist factions within unions like Oakland Education Association), materials that frame Antifa sympathetically as heroic resisters fit the pattern of one-sided narratives. We've seen unauthorized "teach-ins" and "liberatory education" pushes in Oakland and similar districts that critics argue veer into political activism rather than balanced analysis. Glorifying militant groups adds an endorsement of violence to ideological skew. rethinkingschools.org Disproportionate harm — For less-educated or captive audiences (K-12 students), this normalizes extremism. It can desensitize youth to political violence, chill dissent in classrooms, and erode trust in democratic institutions. Post-2020 riots and campus disruptions showed real-world spillover. Anti-democratic double standard — Democracy allows debate over ideas, even radical ones. But state-funded educators actively supporting a movement that rejects debate itself (via doxxing, riots, or "punch a Nazi" rhetoric that expands "Nazi" to include mainstream conservatives) is viewpoint discrimination with state power behind it. It's the opposite of pluralism. Reality checkNot every progressive educator supports Antifa—many explicitly reject its violence. Direct endorsements in official curricula are rare and often opposed by districts when publicized. However, tolerance or soft-pedaling in activist teacher circles, reading lists that lionize radical left figures, or failure to condemn Antifa-linked tactics does occur in highly polarized blue-city environments and feeds the capture critique.This would make the problem not just bias, but incitement against democratic norms. Reforms emphasizing classical civics, viewpoint balance, and strict political neutrality in K-12 become even more urgent. Public education should prepare citizens for democracy, not recruit for its rejection..