There is a reason why hate is bad. It is like anger turned up a few notches, and can become violent.

Same old story.

Europe needs a Trump Double. See new posts Is europe in deep trouble and what is behind that? Europe faces significant challenges in 2025, but "deep trouble" depends on perspective and the specific issues considered. Drawing from recent analyses, the continent is grappling with interconnected economic, political, environmental, and security concerns. Below, I outline the key problems and their causes, grounded in available information, while critically examining the narratives. Key Challenges Facing Europe Economic Stagnation and Competitiveness: Issue: Europe’s economy is struggling with low growth, projected at 1.1% for 2025 by the European Central Bank, and Germany, the bloc’s largest economy, is expected to grow only 0.7% after shrinking in 2024. The European Commission estimates potential growth at less than 1.5%, declining to 1.2% by 2027, due to demographic shifts and weak productivity. Reports highlight Europe’s declining competitiveness compared to the U.S. and China, with structural issues like bureaucracy and underinvestment. Causes: Demographic Decline: A shrinking working-age population reduces labor supply and strains pension systems, as millions are set to retire without enough younger workers to support entitlements. Energy Costs and Policy: High energy prices, exacerbated by sanctions on Russian gas and the EU’s Green Deal, have hit energy-intensive industries. Critics, like Hungary’s PM Viktor Orbán, call the Green Deal a failure, arguing it raises costs without delivering promised benefits. Global Trade Shocks: Potential U.S. tariffs under a Trump administration, alongside tensions with China, threaten Europe’s export-driven economies. Brexit and Russian sanctions have further fragmented trade. Underinvestment: Germany’s tight fiscal policy and France’s high deficits (6.2% of GDP) limit public investment, while political gridlock delays reforms. Political Instability and Polarization: Issue: Political crises in France and Germany, the EU’s core powers, weaken leadership. France’s government collapsed over budget disputes, and Germany faces snap elections in February 2025 after coalition disputes. Rising nationalist and anti-establishment sentiment, as seen in support for Germany’s AfD, challenges EU cohesion. Causes: Policy Disconnect: Leaders like Orbán argue the EU imposes policies (e.g., pro-migration, pro-war stances) against public will, fueling distrust. Economic Frustration: Stagnation and inflation erode living standards, boosting populist parties. Integration Stalls: The EU’s vision of deeper integration, like banking or fiscal unions, lacks momentum, leaving it less agile than the U.S. or China. Environmental and Infrastructure Crises: Issue: Europe faced its hottest year on record in 2024, with floods and storms affecting 413,000 people, killing 335, and costing €18 billion. A major blackout in Spain, Portugal, and parts of France in 2025 exposed grid vulnerabilities. Causes: Climate Change: Fossil fuel reliance and warming (Europe warms twice as fast as the global average) drive extreme weather. Underinvestment in Infrastructure: Low interconnection capacity (e.g., Spain and Portugal at 6% vs. EU’s 15% target) and aging grids amplify blackout risks. Policy Trade-offs: The push for renewables (45% of EU electricity) competes with immediate energy needs, and critics argue fossil fuel phase-outs are too rushed. Security and Geopolitical Risks: Issue: Russia’s hybrid warfare, including cyberattacks and disinformation, targets EU stability, especially ahead of German elections. A potential U.S. pivot from NATO raises defense concerns, while cyber threats surged in March 2025, with DDoS attacks up 137%. Causes: Geopolitical Shifts: Russia’s actions and a less reliable U.S. under Trump force Europe to rethink defense. Defense Gaps: Underinvestment in military capabilities leaves Europe reliant on NATO, with calls for joint EU defense funding unmet. Digital Vulnerabilities: Weak cybersecurity infrastructure struggles against sophisticated attacks. Critical Analysis Establishment Narrative: Mainstream sources (e.g., Euronews, Forbes) emphasize structural issues, climate impacts, and external shocks like Trump’s tariffs or Russia’s actions. They advocate EU reforms, deeper integration, and green transitions as solutions. This view often downplays internal policy failures, framing challenges as external or inevitable. Counter-Narrative: Critics like Orbán and X posts suggest EU policies—overregulation, migration, and green agendas—self-inflict harm, stifling innovation and ignoring public sentiment. Some argue Europe’s decline reflects a broader rejection of centralized governance and unsustainable welfare systems. Reality Check: Both sides have merit. The EU’s regulatory burden and energy policies have measurable economic costs, as seen in Germany’s industrial decline. Yet, external pressures (e.g., U.S.-China rivalry, Russia’s aggression) are real and limit Europe’s options. The demographic crisis is undeniable, with data showing a shrinking workforce. However, claims of imminent “collapse” (e.g.,) seem exaggerated, given Europe’s €15 billion deep tech investments and renewable energy progress. What’s Behind It? Internal Factors: Policy missteps, like rapid fossil fuel phase-outs without robust alternatives, raise costs. Bureaucracy and stalled integration hinder agility. Aging populations strain economies without clear solutions. External Factors: U.S. policy shifts (tariffs, NATO uncertainty) pressure Europe’s economy and security. Russia’s hybrid tactics exploit vulnerabilities. Global trade fragmentation (e.g., U.S.-China tensions) hits Europe’s open economy. Is Europe in “Deep Trouble”? Europe isn’t collapsing, but it’s at a crossroads. Economic stagnation, political fragmentation, and environmental crises are serious but not insurmountable. The EU’s resilience—seen in its renewable energy gains and deep tech investments—offers hope, but only if leaders address structural flaws and public discontent. Without reforms, low growth and declining global influence are likely, as economists warn. The narrative of “trouble” risks becoming self-fulfilling if pessimism stalls action

I predict that there will be a serious problem within Russia in the next ten days that will lead to an epic fail.

POWER LIKE NEVER BEFORE: Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86 · Feb 27 Everything you are about to read happened in the last 24 hours. The USS Gerald R. Ford arrived off Israel. The USS Abraham Lincoln is conducting underway replenishment 850 kilometers from Iran, loading munitions and fuel for sustained combat operations. MizarVision satellite imagery shows four F-22 Raptors positioned on the active runway at Ovda Airbase in Israel. Not parked. Not sheltered. On the runway. That is hot-launch posture. The US State Department ordered evacuation of non-essential employees and families from the embassy in Baghdad. Separately, the US Embassy in Jerusalem approved evacuation of non-essential staff from Israel. Two American embassies, two countries, same order, same day. Israel began opening public bomb shelters in Beersheba, Tel Aviv, and Raanana. Hundreds of IDF reserve soldiers were called up for the air defense command. Yediot Ahronot reported the callups today. You do not activate air defense reserves unless you expect inbound missiles. Al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar, America’s largest air operations center in the Middle East, is completely empty of refueling aircraft. Tankers do not vanish from their home base. They disperse to secondary locations before operations begin so a single Iranian missile strike cannot destroy the refueling fleet on the ground. Empty tarmac at Al-Udeid is not absence. It is distribution. 37 fighter jets landed at RAF Lakenheath in the last 24 hours. 12 F-35As. 12 F-15E Strike Eagles. 13 F-22 Raptors. They are expected to depart for the Middle East soon. The staging base is reloading heavier than the first wave that sent Raptors to Israel four days ago. Two carriers in position. F-22s on hot runway. Tankers dispersed. Embassies evacuating from both sides of the theater. Bomb shelters opening in three Israeli cities. Air defense reserves activated. Strike aircraft staging in England. Supply ships topping off a carrier strike group within missile range of Iran. This is not buildup. Buildup is what happened last week. This is final positioning. Every asset is where it needs to be for the first 72 hours of a campaign. The only thing missing is the order. Tomorrow Oman’s Foreign Minister meets Vance carrying Tehran’s answer. After Friday’s sermon declaring enrichment sacred and six governments evacuating their people, we know what that answer contains. And we know what follows when Washington receives it. The clock no longer reads days. It reads hours.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​